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Weekly Picks 28th November 2023

Written by - Fisdom Research

November 25, 2023 7 minutes

1. HDFCBANK

CounterHDFCBANK LTP 1532.05
CallBuy on dip
Target 11560
Target 21600
Stop Loss1480 on close
Time Horizon1 + months
NotesBuy-on-dip towards 1515 & 1495

The Housing Development Finance Corporation Limited or HDFC Ltd was among the first financial institutions in India to receive an “in principle” approval from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to set up a bank in the private sector. This was done as part of RBI’s policy for liberalisation of the Indian banking industry in 1994

Previous Close1521.3TTM EPS71.8
52 Week High1757.5TTM PE21.4
52 Week Low1460.3P/B4.0
Sector PE23.5Mkt Cap (Rs. Cr.)11,62,828

(Source: Moneycontrol, BSE, Fisdom Research)

Technical Outlook

(Source: Fisdom Research)

  • HDFC Bank ended last week on a positive note, reaching its five-week high above the 1530 levels.
  • However, the counter has underperformed the Bank Index this year, experiencing a decline of -4.27%. A potential pullback in the upcoming weeks might help bridge this performance gap.
  • Immediate support for the counter is anticipated around the 1480 levels, while a significant interim resistance is expected at around 1610 levels, where the possibility of “Selling Pressure” cannot be disregarded.
  • In summary, for the approaching week, looking for dips towards support levels could present opportunities for initiating fresh trading long strategies for the December series.

Open Interest Study

ExpiryCPStrikeOpen Interest
30 Nov 2023CE150010971
30 Nov 2023PE15007360
30 Nov 2023CE16006079
30 Nov 2023CE15505077
30 Nov 2023PE14005011
30 Nov 2023CE15204730
30 Nov 2023CE15404080
30 Nov 2023PE14702742
30 Nov 2023PE15202727
  • In the November series, HDFC Bank Options show the highest Call Option build-up at 1500 and 1600 Strike Rates, with the maximum Put Option build-up at 1500 and 1400 Strike Rates.
  • In general, the 1500 Strike Rates appear to be a battleground between Bulls and Bears. Dips towards the 1500 levels might present opportunities for initiating fresh hedged trading long strategies for December.

F&O Strategy

ScripHDFCBANK LTP 1532.05
RiskModerate
Ratio1:1
BiasRange to pullback
Max Reward Expected₹18,040
Max Risk Expected₹15,000
ActionScripQuantityEntri PriceLTP
BUYHDFCBANK 28-DEC 1520 CE5503737
SELLHDFCBANK 28-DEC 1580 CE5509.89.8
Invest Now

2. HAL

CounterHAL LTP 2,241.95
CallBuy on dip
Target 12320
Target 22420
Stop Loss2100
Time Horizon1 to 2 Months
NotesBuy-On-Dip towards 2200 & 2175

Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd (HAL) is an aerospace and defense company, owned by the government of India. The company develops, designs, manufactures, and supplies aircraft, helicopters, avionics, and communications equipment for military and civil markets.

Previous Close2,146.3TTM EPS90.3
52 Week High4,170.0TTM PE24.8
52 Week Low1,767.8P/B6.4
Sector PE34.6Mkt Cap (Rs. Cr.)149,825

(Source: Moneycontrol, BSE, Fisdom Research)

Technical Outlook

(Source: Fisdom Research)

  • HAL signaled a consolidation break-out above the 2100 levels in the second week of November 23. Following the consolidation, it showed a fresh upward movement last week.
  • Ending the week on a strong note, the counter demonstrated a more than 5% increase, suggesting the potential for further upward movement in the upcoming weeks.
  • Expectations point towards a rise to levels beyond 2400 in the next few weeks, with a “Buy-On-Dip” perspective recommended above 2080 in the short-term timeframe.
  • In the approaching week, any declines towards 2200 and below could offer a more favorable risk-reward ratio for attaining higher levels in the subsequent weeks

Open Interest

ExpiryCPStrikeOpen Interest
30 Nov 2023CE22501700
30 Nov 2023PE21001548
30 Nov 2023CE23001502
30 Nov 2023PE21501487
30 Nov 2023CE24001396
30 Nov 2023PE20001329
30 Nov 2023CE21001231
30 Nov 2023CE25001136
30 Nov 2023PE19001129
  • In the HAL Nov Option Chain, there’s a maximum Put Option build-up observed at the 2100 and 2150 Strikes, expected to serve as Support levels. Simultaneously, the maximum Call Option build-up is noted at the 2250 and 2300 Strikes.
  • Overall, the range between 2100 and 2300 appears to establish an initial trading band, suggesting a Buy-On-Dip perspective for the upcoming weeks.

F&O Strategy

ScripHAL LTP 2,241.95
RiskModerate
Ratio1:1
BiasRange to pullback
Max Reward Expected₹36,000
Max Risk Expected₹23,400
ActionScripQTYEntri PriceLTP
BUY28-DEC HAL 2200 CE300115115
SELL28-DEC HAL 2400 CE3003737
Invest Now

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