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Research Technical Outlook Sectoral Trends & Patterns – November 2024

Sectoral Trends & Patterns – November 2024

Written by - Fisdom Research

November 13, 2024 4 minutes

Sector Summary At Glance

Index Name Pattern Formation Strategy
Realty Bearish Trends Signal Profit Booking and Downside Potential Sell on rise
Auto Bearish belt-hold candle stick pattern Sell on rise
Industrial Bearish Signals Amid Range-Bound Outlook & Rising Channel Breakdown Monitor for breakdown below 14,000
Capital Goods Bearish Signals Amid Rounding Top and Rectangle Pattern Monitor for range-bound movement
Telecom Bearish engulfing candlestick at all-time high levels Avoid fresh buying; wait for breakout or breakdown
Bankex Rising Channel with Higher Highs and Higher Lows Avoid fresh buying; wait for breakout or breakdown
Energy Bearish belt-hold candlestick pattern engulfing the previous four months Sell on rise
Healthcare Range-Bound Outlook with Key Levels for Breakout and Breakdown Monitor for breakout or breakdown
Basic Material Bearish engulfing candlestick pattern at all-time high levels Watch for profit booking
FMCG Rising channel pattern with resistance at the upper band, bearish belt-hold candlestick Monitor for breakdown or breakout
Consumer Durables Rising channel pattern with resistance near upper band Monitor for breakdown or breakout
IT Bullish cup and handle pattern breakout on the weekly chart Buy on breakout above 42,000

Note: Bottom-up opportunities are available across sectors.

Realty: Bearish Trends Signal Profit Booking and Downside Potential

Trend Formation

The Nifty Realty Index is showing a bearish trend with a strong downward movement, as it has drifted 100 points lower (almost 10% decline), indicating significant profit booking.

Weekly Analysis

On the weekly chart, the index has broken down from a rising channel pattern, with prices settling below the lower band of the pattern. This breakdown suggests a continuation of bearish momentum.

Momentum Indicators

RSI (14): The momentum oscillator RSI (14) has given a horizontal trend line breakdown below 50 levels with a bearish crossover.

Key Levels

Support: 950 and 900

Resistance: 1,100

The Realty Index presently indicates sell on sell-on-rise scenario where a bearish move will be neglected, only above 1100 levels

Auto: Bearish belt-hold candle stick pattern

Trend Formation

The Nifty Auto Index drifted more than 12% in October month and formed a bearish belt-hold candle stick pattern on the monthly chart. The tall bearish candle on the monthly chart has engulfed its previous four months, indicating a bear’s dominant month.

Weekly Analysis

On the weekly chart, the Index has given a rising channel pattern breakdown and the prices have settled below the lower band of the pattern. Index has moved below its 21 & 50 EMA.

Momentum Indicators

RSI (14): The momentum oscillator RSI (14) has given a horizontal trend line breakdown below 50 levels with a bearish crossover.

MACD: Bearish crossover but the indicator is still above its line of polarity which indicates early selling.

Key Levels

Support: 23,000 and 22,000

Resistance: 25,500

The Auto Index presently indicates sell on sell-on-rise scenario where a bearish move will be neglected only above 25,500 levels

Industrial: Bearish Signals Amid Range-Bound Outlook and Rising Channel Breakdown

Trend Formation

The Industrial Index recovered almost 800 points in the last four trading sessions in October month but still managed to close with a loss of 5% on the monthly chart. Presently the prices on the monthly chart are in the early stage of forming a rounding top formation.

Weekly Analysis

On the weekly time frame, the Index has given a rising channel pattern breakdown and the prices have settled below the lower band of the pattern. Index has moved below its 21 & 50 EMA

Momentum Indicators

RSI (14): The momentum oscillator RSI (14) has given a horizontal trend line breakdown below 50 levels with a bearish crossover.

MACD: MACD indicator has shown a bearish crossover but the indicator is still above its line of polarity which indicates early selling.

Key Levels

Support: 14,000

Resistance: 15,700

By observing the trend on the weekly and monthly charts the Industrial index is expected to trade within the range between 14,000 – 15,700 levels

Capital Goods: Bearish Signals Amid Rounding Top and Rectangle Pattern

Trend Formation

The Capital Goods Index recovered almost 450 points in the last four trading sessions in October month but still managed to close with a loss of 5.50% on the monthly chart. Presently the prices on the monthly chart are in the early stage of forming a rounding top formation.

Weekly Analysis

On the weekly time frame, the Index is trading in a rectangle pattern and exhibited volatility throughout the month.

Momentum Indicators

RSI (14): The momentum oscillator RSI (14) is reading in a lower low lower high formation and the index has drifted lower near 45 levels from the high of 80 levels.

Key Levels

Support: 65,000

Resistance: 71,000

A breakdown below 65,000 levels will trigger a bearish breakdown in the prices.

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