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Research Technical Outlook Sectoral Trends & Patterns – July 2024

Sectoral Trends & Patterns – July 2024

Written by - Fisdom Research

July 8, 2024 6 minutes

Sectoral Technical Outlook (1/2)

Index NameTrendPattern/FormationStrategy
RealtyIndex has gained more than 2 percent  gains for June 2024Indicating a lack of upward momentumIndex’s next support level is 1,000, and its  immediate resistance level is 1,200; a  break over this level is probably going to  take it to 1,300
AutoIndex has gained for seven months  running and is currently heading quite  bullishlythe Higher Low Higher High formation is  still ongoingrecommendation is still Buy during  declines in which prices consistently move  above the weekly 10 EMA
Industrialhas gained another 5.50% in June,  continuing the extremely bullish  momentumIndex has formed a strong bullish candle  on the monthly time frameIndustrial Index is still seen as being  positive, with immediate support located  around 14,400 and 13,900 levels
Capital GoodsIndex achieved a record high of 70,000  levels and created another large bullish  candle on a monthly timeframeIndex forms a higher high – higher low  structureOutlook for the counter is still favorable;  on a weekly timeframe, we could witness  a mean reversion to the 10 and 20 EMA.
TelecomThe index was able to gain 10% from its monthly lowA distinct higher-high higher-low pattern  was seen on the weekly time frame, and  the index recently showed a breakout of  the one-month consolidationIndex is still seen as being positive, with  immediate support located around 2,800  and 2,700 levels, with potential upside  momentum capping close to 3,250 levels
BankexIndex on the weekly chart has given a  rising wedge pattern breakout and prices  are trading above the upper band of the  rangeThe index is forming a higher low  formation and is trading between a rising  WEDGE pattern at its all-time highThe immediate support for the Banking  Index is placed below the trend line which  is placed at 56,600 and resistance is likely  to be capped near 62,000 levels.

Sectoral Technical Outlook (2/2)

Index NameTrendPattern/FormationStrategy
EnergyOn the monthly timeframe, a large  DOJI candle has formed near the highs  of the NIFTY ENERGY index, signaling  a halt to the upwardIndex broke out of the rectangle  formation at all-time highsOutlook is still optimistic, and dip buying should be  started up to 38,500 levels
HealthcareIndex on the weekly chart is trading in  a triangle pattern and recently prices  have witnessed a breakoutIndex is trading in a higher high  higher low formation and has  presently witnessed a smaller  degree trend line breakoutWe will be partially long at current levels and will wait  for a dip will 36,000 levels, with immediate support  near 35,000 levels
MaterialsBasic Material Index has witnessed a  breakout of a triangle pattern on the  weekly time framePost-breakout prices are  sustaining above the upper band  of the bullish patternWe will be partially long at current levels and will wait  for a dip will 7,400 levels, with immediate support  near 7,200 levels.
FMCGIndex on the weekly chart is trading in  a higher high higher bottom  formation within the rising channel  patternIndex has witnessed a horizontal  trend line breakout and prices are  trading above their short-term  resistance levelsWe will be partially long at current levels and will wait  for a dip will 20,000 levels, with immediate support  near 19,500 levels.
Consumer DurablesDurables Index on the weekly chart is trading in a rising channel patternIndex is trading in a higher high  higher low formation and has  presently witnessed a smaller  degree trend line breakout on the  daily chartWe will be partially long at current levels and will wait  for a dip will 58,000 levels, with immediate support  near 57,000 levels.
Information TechnologyIndex has witnessed a breakout of a  downward slanting trend line on the  weekly chartPrices are sustained above the  same indicating a strength in the  breakout.Technically the IT Index is trading in a bullish terrain  and buying on present levels can be initiated and on  dips near 35,500 with immediate support of 35,000 –  34,500 levels

Realty Index

Nifty Realty index was quite positive on a monthly time frame

At its 52-week high levels, the NIFTY REALTY  INDEX has gained more than 2 percent for June.  The index was quite positive on a monthly time frame, and the DOJI structure presently suggests that, at least for the time being, an equilibrium has been reached.

Since the third week of June, the Realty Index has been trading above the 900–980 level consolidation zone. The weekly time frame’s  10–20 EMA zone may see some mean reversion in the index due to the Bearish evening star pattern, which suggests a little pullback in the upcoming month. Indicating a lack of upward momentum, the weekly time-frame RSI bearish divergence is currently reverting from the over-bought zone to the normal zone.

The index’s next support level is 1,000, and its immediate resistance level is 1,200; a break over this level is probably going to take it to  1,300.

Auto Index

NIFTY AUTO index can take a little decline and retest the 22,950 prior breakthrough level

The AUTO Index has gained for seven months running and is currently heading quite bullishly.  In May, it increased by more than 5%.

For the first time in a monthly timeframe, the  momentum oscillator RSI (14) reached 86  levels, signifying a very positive index. The weekly timeframe shows that the index is still trading above the 10 EMA and that the Higher  Low Higher High formation is still ongoing. In the next month, the index can take a little decline and retest the  22,950  prior breakthrough level.

The recommendation is still Buy during declines in which prices consistently move above the weekly 10 EMA. With support at 24,000 levels,  a drop near 23,000 levels will enable traders to go long in the Auto index. In a similar vein, the  Index will begin to break out to 27,000 levels if it moves over 26,000 levels.

Industrial Index

INDUSTRIAL Index is still seen as being positive, with immediate support located around 14,400 and 13,900 levels

INDUSTRIAL INDEX has gained another 5.50% in  June, continuing the extremely bullish  momentum. The index has risen for the 7th  consecutive month and has gained more than  50% through this period. The index has formed  a strong bullish candle on the monthly time  frame.

The index has been trading over 10 & 20 EMA  on the weekly time frame and these moving  averages are working as a good support zone.  Index is making a higher-high higher-low  pattern on a weekly timeframe. RSI is taking  support near 65 levels and is in an over-bought  zone, indicating the bullish momentum to  continue till RSI remains above 60 levels.

The Industrial Index is still seen as being  positive, with immediate support located  around 14,400 and 13,900 levels, with potential  upside momentum till 16,500 levels once the  15,900 level is breached.

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