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Research Technical Outlook Sectoral Trends & Patterns – January 2025

Sectoral Trends & Patterns – January 2025

Written by - Fisdom Research

January 3, 2025 4 minutes

Sector Summary At Glance

Index Name Pattern Formation Strategy View
Realty Trend is bullish to sideways Buy-on-dips is advisable as long as prices remain above the support zone. Bullish to sideways
Auto Short-Term Bearish Outlook with Key Support Levels Buy on Dips Negative trend shift in the short

term

Industrial Sideways trend expected to continue in the short term Buy on breakout above resistance or near support if confirmed. Sideways trend
Capital Goods The index is consolidating with key levels acting as a decision zone Breakdown below 65,000 for directional clarity Consolidation phase
Telecom Index remains in a bearish to sideways zone Wait-and-watch approach advised Wait and Watch
Bankex Sideways trading range The price action suggests a wait-and-watch approach

until the index breaks out of this consolidation phase

Breakout or breakdown for

direction

Energy Signs of Reversal at Critical Support Bearish trend visible with a potential reversal above resistance. Bearish
Healthcare Index shows bullish momentum Shows bullish momentum, with support and potential breakout targets Bullish outlook
Basic Material Index Broadening triangle pattern. Avoid immediate positions as the index is trading near

critical support levels

Wait and Watch
FMCG Index is bearish but may stabilize near support Bullish confirmation only above 21,500. Monitor the index near support levels
Consumer Durables Bullish Momentum Builds Target 68,000 – 70,000 for potential gains. Bullish outlook
IT Bullish Breakout with Strong Upside Potential Add positions on dips during consolidation phases. Bullish trend

Realty: Buy-on-dips is advisable as long as prices remain above the support zone

Trend Formation

Formed a hammer candlestick pattern on the monthly chart. Gained over 2.20% in December, showing positive momentum.

Weekly Analysis

Trading within a slanting channel pattern for the past 7 months. Currently near the upper band of the channel.

Momentum Indicators

RSI (14): Has found support near 40 and is moving towards 60,

indicating improving strength.

Key Levels

Support: 950 (near the lower band of the channel and 50 EMA at 966).

Resistance: Immediate resistance at 1,150; breakout above this

level could target 1,250–1,300.

Trend is bullish to sideways. Buy-on-dips is advisable as long as prices remain above the support zone.

Auto: Negative trend shift in the short term.

Trend Formation

Bearish movement continued for the third consecutive month. Prices

traded in a bearish to sideways mode, indicating a time correction.

Weekly Analysis

Witnessed a breakdown of a bearish rising channel pattern. Prices are sustaining below the breakdown level, confirming a bearish outlook for the short term.

Momentum Indicators

While analyzing trends on the broader time frame the index is likely to find support near its medium-term averages (50 and 100 EMA) 22,940 and 20,300 respectively.

Key Levels

Support: 22,000 and 21,500

Resistance: 25,000

Entry recommended on dips near support levels, with cautious monitoring of key resistance for a potential breakout.

Industrial: Sideways trend expected to continue in the short term

Trend Formation

Another sideways trading month with prices confined to the previous month’s  range.  Failed bullish  breakout  as  prices drifted below resistance levels and stayed within the channel.

Monthly chart

Time correction evident, with prices trading in a narrow range for the past  4–5  months.  Monthly  chart  indicates  indecision  and consolidation within a defined range.

Momentum Indicators

The major support for the Industrial index occurs near its 50 EMA which is placed at 14,200 levels and is clubbed with the lower band of the channel pattern.

Key Levels Support: 14,200

Resistance: 16,000

Trade execution advised only after a clear breakout above 16,000 or a breakdown below 14,000 13,700.

Capital Goods: The index is consolidating with key levels acting as a decision zone

Trend Formation

The Capital Goods Index remained volatile within its four-month range, ending with a 4% monthly loss and forming a shooting star candlestick near trendline resistance.

Weekly Analysis

Recently the prices have taken support near its 50 EMA which is placed at 65,000 levels on the weekly chart. The EMA support is clubbed with the lower band of the triangle pattern formation on the weekly chart.

Momentum Indicators

The Capital Good Index has also formed a Tweezer Bottom candle stick pattern on the monthly chart. And the low of the candle stick pattern will act as a support for the index.

Key Levels

Support: 66,000 – 65,000

Resistance: 75,000

Trade execution advised after a clear breakout above 75,000 or a breakdown below 65,000 for directional clarity.

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