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Research Technical Outlook Sectoral Trends & Patterns – January 2024

Sectoral Trends & Patterns – January 2024

Written by - Fisdom Research

January 1, 2024 3 minutes

Sectoral Technical Outlook (1/2)

Index NameTrendPattern/FormationStrategy
RealtyPerceptual bullish trendMultiyear rectangle pattern breakoutPartial long at current levels, another half at dip near 700 levels
AutoRising wedge pattern breakoutHigher high higher low formationPartial long at current levels, wait for dip to 17,800, support near 17,300, breakout above 18,600 targets 19,000
IndustrialBullish breakout of horizontal flag patternDrift in RSI after top near 90, support near 80Partial long at current levels, wait for dip to 11,000, support near 10,500, upside capped below 12,100 – 12,250
Capital GoodsBullish breakout of horizontal flag patternDrift in RSI after top near 85, support near 65Partial long at current levels, wait for dip to 52,500, support near 51,300, upside capped below 56,000 – 56,500
TelecomRectangle pattern breakoutLower low in RSI, bullish hidden divergencePartial long at current levels, wait for dip to 2,130, support near 2,050, breakout above 2,230 targets 2,400 – 2,450
BankexRising channel patternSupport near 21 WEMA, moving higherGoing long at current stage, target 55,500 – 55,700, support at 52,500 – 51,500

Sectoral Technical Outlook (2/2)

Index NameTrendPattern/FormationStrategy
EnergyHigher high higher bottom, inverted head & shoulder patternGolden crossover, RSI near 80Half positional at current levels, another half at dip near 32,500, downside protected at 31,500 – 31,000
HealthcareRectangle pattern breakoutDrift in RSI, bullish crossoverPartial long at current levels, wait for dip to 30,500, support near 29,500, upside target near 31,700 – 32,000
MaterialsHigher high higher bottom formationBullish ascending triangle pattern breakoutGoing long at current stage for 6,800 – 6,900 levels, support at 6,300 – 6,150
FMCGHigher high higher bottom formation within rising channelHorizontal trend line breakout, trading above short-term resistancePartial long at current levels, wait for dip to 19,900, support near 19,500, target 20,600 – 21,000
Consumer DurablesHigher high formation, triangle pattern breakoutMoving above 21 & 50 EMA, positive for the indexBuying on present levels, initiate on dips near 49,000, support at 48,000 – 47,500, target 51,000 – 51,500
Information TechnologyBreakout of rectangle pattern, sustained aboveAbove 21 & 50 EMA, RSI support near 50, bullish crossoverBuying on present levels, initiate on dips near 34,800, support at 34,000 – 33,500, target 37,000 – 37,500

Realty Index

Bullish momentum: nifty realty index signals strong outperformance and breakout potential

  • The Realty index has been consistently forming higher highs over the past few months, signalling a perceptible bullish trend. With a remarkable return of over 27% in the last 10 weeks, the index has outperformed the Benchmark index.
  • NIFTY REALTY INDEX experienced a breakout from a multiyear rectangle pattern on the monthly timeframe, and it continues its upward trajectory with strong momentum. Trading above the 21, 50, and 100 Weekly Exponential Moving Averages (WEMA), and with the RSI (14) in a bullish range shift mode on the weekly scale, the index shows robust technical strength.
  • An effective strategy would be to buy on dips following the bullish breakout, anticipating a potential throwback on the broader time trend as the oscillator approaches the overbought zone. Consider initiating half a position at current levels and the remaining half on a dip near 700 levels, setting downside protection at 660 levels and capping the upside below 810 – 830.

Auto Index

Breakout signals strong momentum with 13% returns in 10 weeks

  • On the weekly chart, the NIFTY AUTO Index is in a rising wedge pattern, experiencing a recent breakout above its trend line, resulting in over 13% returns in just 10 weeks.
  • With a higher high and higher low formation, the index shows a smaller degree trend line breakout on the daily chart. The RSI (14) has re-entered the overbought zone near 80 levels with a bullish crossover.
  • We’re considering a partial long position at current levels, waiting for a dip around 17,800, supported by immediate levels around 17,300. A breakout above 18,600 would set the next target near 19,000 levels.

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