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Research Capview Rumble Stripes – November 2024

Rumble Stripes – November 2024

Written by - chandrashekar

November 19, 2024 1 minute

Short-term swings, long-term wins

Returns %

1M Abs 1Y Abs 3Y CAGR 5Y CAGR 10Y CAGR
Nifty 50 -6.1% 28.4% 12.4% 16.6% 12.6%
Nifty Next 50 -9.2% 59.9% 19.4% 20.4% 15.9%
Nifty Midcap 150 -6.4% 44.2% 23.3% 28.4% 19.3%
Nifty Smallcap 250 -3.6% 48.6% 24.6% 31.0% 16.9%
Nifty Microcap 250 -3.3% 54.4% 36.1% 42.6% 23.2%

Temporary Headwinds

  • Growing global uncertainty
  • Subdued earnings in sight
  • Geopolitical shift
  • Foreign flows redirecting towards China
  • Consistent outflows by FPIs
  • Elevated valuations compared to emerging markets and long-term averages

Outlook: Near Term

  • Volatile but promising – a prime buying opportunity.

Outlook: Long Term

  • India is positioned at a transformative stage, with sustained high valuations likely.
  • Strong structural and economic fundamentals place the country among the most attractive markets globally over the long term.

Is a 6% monthly decline concerning? Ride out the lows, win the year

Historically, such significant monthly dips have often proven beneficial for investors over the long term

  • In October, the market saw a 6% decline, sparking caution among investors.
  • Historically, buying during such dips has proven rewarding, with strong long-term returns and impressive growth rates evident from past recoveries.
Source: ACE MF, Fisdom Research.

Even with larger drawdowns investors can achieve long-term gain

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