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Research Periodic Report Lower Fertiliser Subsidy, Weak Capex Allocation Drag Stocks; Bajaj Finance Hits Record High

Lower Fertiliser Subsidy, Weak Capex Allocation Drag Stocks; Bajaj Finance Hits Record High

Written by - Fisdom Research

February 3, 2025 2 minutes

Market Snapshot

  • Global markets faced sharp declines, with Dow Jones futures down 1.22%, S&P 500 futures losing 1.4%, and Nasdaq-100 futures dropping 1.7%.
  • European indices also traded lower, falling over 1%, while Asian markets saw significant losses, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 down 2.5% and South Korea’s Kospi plunging 2.9%
  • Hong Kong’s Hang Seng slipped 1.4% to 19,942.54, while China’s Shanghai Composite edged lower to 3,250.60, reflecting broader market caution.
  • Indian equities remained flat post-budget, as gains in consumer stocks—fueled by personal income tax cuts—were offset by weakness in infrastructure stocks due to lower-than-expected investment outlay for FY26.

Sectoral Trends

Sector Name % Change Sector Name % Change
NIFTY IT 0.7 NIFTY AUTO 0.1
NIFTY CONSUMER DURABLES 0.6 NIFTY FINANCIAL SERVICES -0.2
NIFTY HEALTHCARE INDEX 0.2 NIFTY REALTY -0.3
NIFTY PHARMA 0.1 NIFTY MEDIA -0.3

Top News

  • Fertiliser stocks declined as the government pegged the FY26 fertiliser subsidy at ₹1.68 lakh crore, lower than the revised estimate of ₹1.71 lakh crore for FY25.
  • Capex-linked stocks, including railway, defence, and infrastructure companies, saw heavy selling pressure, with key stocks dropping up to 9%, as investors were disappointed by the lower-than-expected capex allocation in the Budget.
  • Bajaj Finance surged over 5% to a fresh high, driven by strong Q3 results and optimism around a potential RBI rate cut, with economists forecasting a 50-75 bps reduction in 2025.
  • Shreeji Shipping Global files draft papers with Sebi to raise funds via IPO

Technical Outlook: Key Indices

Indices Name Support Resistance
Nifty 23,200 23,650
Bank Nifty 48,500 50,000

Top Gainers and Losers

Top Gainers % Change Top Losers % Change
BAJFINANCE 5.1 LT -4.7
SHRIRAMFIN 3.1 TATACONSUM -3.1
M&M 3.0 HEROMOTOCO -3.0

Trade Ideas Update

  • Our trade ideas success rate has 67% over the past month, even with increased volatility in the benchmark index. Follow Trade Ideas for timely stock insights.
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