Categories: Weekly Pick

Weekly Picks 4th December 2023

1. Bharat Forge Limited

CounterBHARATFORGE LTP 1156
CallBuy on dip
Target 11250
Target 21410
Stop Loss1100 or 1050
Time Horizon1 – 3 months
NotesBuy-on-dip towards 1140 & 1100

Bharat Forge Limited is the flagship company of the Pune-based Kalyani Group, which has interests in forging, auto components, speciality steels, infrastructure, renewable energy and speciality chemicals businesses. BFL is the largest forging company in India and among the largest players in the world, second only to Thyssen Krupp in terms of installed capacity and revenues. BFL has a diversified global customer base including the top five CV and PV manufacturers in the world and caters to key global automotive OEMs and Tier I suppliers.

Previous Close1120.3TTM EPS16.8
52 Week High1163.5TTM PE68.7
52 Week Low743.6P/B8.1
Sector PE47.6Mkt Cap (Rs. Cr.)53,845

(Source: Moneycontrol, BSE, Fisdom Research)

Technical Outlook

(Source: Fisdom Research)

  • BharatForge achieved a new “All Time High” weekly close last week.
  • After consolidating and retracing its previous impulsive up-move, the stock is poised for a new upward movement.
  • The stock is considered a buy-on-dip towards immediate supports at 1100 & 1050 levels, with a significant support level at 1000, anticipating levels beyond 1400 in the coming months.

Open Interest Study

ExpiryCPStrikeOpen Interest
28 Dec 2023CE12001283
28 Dec 2023CE1150811
28 Dec 2023PE1000565
28 Dec 2023PE1100504
28 Dec 2023CE1160497
28 Dec 2023CE1290391
28 Dec 2023PE1050389
28 Dec 2023CE1250381
28 Dec 2023CE1170303
  • The highest Call Option build-up for Bharatforge in December Open Interest is at 1200 & 1150 Strike Rates, suggesting a potential upside limitation for about a week.
  • Conversely, on the downside, there is notable Put Option build-up around 1100 & 1100 Strikes, creating a “Tug-Of-War” scenario at approximately 1100 level.
  • Buying on dips towards 1100 could offer a favorable risk-reward ratio for anticipated higher levels in the coming weeks.
  • In the December series, one might consider a Bullish Ratio Spread, anticipating elevated levels by the end of the month.

F&O Strategy

ScripBHARATFORGE LTP 1156
RiskModerate
Ratio1:2
BiasRange to pullback above 1100
Max Reward Expected₹37,000
Max Risk Expected₹8,000
ActionScripQuantityEntry PriceLTP
BUYBHARATFFORGE 28-DEC 1150 CE50044.444.4
SELLBHARATFFORGE 28-DEC 1240 CE100014.214.2
Invest Now

2. Hindustan Unilever Limited

CounterHINDUNILVR LTP 2563
CallBuy on dip
Target 12640
Target 22750
Stop Loss2500 or 2460 on close
Time Horizon1 – 3 Months
NotesBuy-On-Dip towards 2540 & 2500

Hindustan Unilever Limited (HUL) is a British-owned Indian consumer goods company headquartered in Mumbai. It is a subsidiary of the British company Unilever. Its products include foods, beverages, cleaning agents, personal care products, water purifiers and other fast-moving consumer goods.

Previous Close2545.6TTM EPS43.8
52 Week High2769.7TTM PE58.6
52 Week Low2393.0P/B12.3
Sector PE62.1Mkt Cap (Rs. Cr.)602,352

(Source: Moneycontrol, BSE, Fisdom Research)

Technical Outlook

(Source: Fisdom Research)

  • HUL has been in a consolidation phase since July 2023, confined within a narrow range of 2425 to 2600 levels.
  • The counter’s under-performance is expected to improve in the coming weeks.
  • Consider accumulating positions in the stock at market price and during dips. Additionally, consider adding positions when it consistently stays above 2600 levels, targeting higher levels of 2750-2800 and further upward movements.

Open Interest

ExpiryCPStrikeOpen Interest
28 Dec 2023CE26003793
28 Dec 2023CE27001181
28 Dec 2023PE2500839
28 Dec 2023PE2600776
28 Dec 2023PE2400686
28 Dec 2023CE2580584
28 Dec 2023CE2500580
28 Dec 2023CE2540519
28 Dec 2023CE2800510
  • In December, HUL’s Open Interest sees the highest Call Option Build-Up at 2600 & 2700 Strikes, suggesting potential immediate obstacles for the stock.
  • Conversely, there is significant Put Option build-up at 2500 & 2600 Strikes, indicating support levels.
  • The stock may be considered for a Buy-on-Dip strategy in the coming days, anticipating pull-backs and impulsive swings towards higher levels in the weeks to follow.

F&O Strategy

ScripHINDUNILVR LTP 2563
RiskModerate
Ratio1:2
BiasRange to pullback above 2540
Max Reward Expected₹ 32,000
Max Risk Expected₹ 9,600
ActionScripQTYEntry PriceLTP
BUYHINDUNILVR DEC 2560 CE3005151
SELLHINDUNILVR DEC 2700 CE6009.59.5
Invest Now

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