Categories: Weekly Pick

Weekly Picks 11th December 2023

1. INDIACEM LTP 271.2

CounterINDIACEM LTP 271.2
CallBuy on dip
Target 1300
Target 2
Stop Loss240
Time Horizon3-4 weeks
NotesBuy-on-dip towards 260 & 240

The year was 1946. The Second World War was over and political freedom was round the corner. It was then The India Cements Ltd. began its humble moorings in the form of a cement factory at Talaiyuthu, an almost unmapped tiny hamlet in Tirunelveli district, Tamil Nadu. As one of the oldest Indian corporates, established in 1946, the company set up its first plant in 1949 at Sankarnagar (Talaiyuthu). The India Cements Ltd. is indeed a pioneer enterprise during the post-independence era to become a public limited company.

Previous Close263.85TTM EPS0
52 Week High272.9TTM PE
52 Week Low167.2P/B1.4
Sector PE52.7Mkt Cap (Rs. Cr.)8,401

(Source: Moneycontrol, BSE, Fisdom Research)

Technical Outlook

(Source: Fisdom research)

  • IndiaCem gave a technical “Falling Trend-Line” pattern break-out on higher-end last week.
  • The counter closed on a firm note last week, indicating higher levels in weeks to come.
  • Technically, as per the price study, the counter can be looked for buying on dips for a potential short-term target cum hurdle of 300-310 levels followed by much higher positional levels of 375-385 in months to come.
  • Overall, the short-term outlook is “Buy-On-Dip” above 260/ 250 support levels for mentioned higher levels.

Open Interest Study

ExpiryCPStrikeOpen Interest
28 Dec 2023CE250354
28 Dec 2023CE260300
28 Dec 2023CE270226
28 Dec 2023PE220225
28 Dec 2023PE250207
28 Dec 2023PE240206
28 Dec 2023PE230203
28 Dec 2023CE275198
28 Dec 2023CE290190
  • The Dec Open Interest Option Chain study suggests that the maximum CE build-up is around 250 & 260/ 270 Strike Rates, indicating that the upside is capped.
  • the maximum PE build-up is witnessed at 250/240 strike rates on the lower end, indicating support levels.
  • Overall, in the short-term term, per OI data, the upside is capped & dips towards support levels and can wait for fresh entry for better risk-reward trades in days to come. Overall, a new move can be expected on higher-end post-consolidation.

F&O Strategy

ScripINDIACEM LTP 271.2
RiskModerate
Ratio1:1
BiasRange to pullback above 260
Max Reward Expected₹ 39,875
Max Risk Expected₹ 18,125
ActionScripQuantityEntry PriceLTP
BUYINDIACEM DEC FUT2900272.25272.25
SELLINDIACEM 28-DEC 270 CE29001616
Invest Now

2. KOTAKBANK LTP 1837.35

CounterKOTAKBANK LTP 1837.35
CallBuy on dip
Target 11905
Target 21995
Stop Loss1760
Time Horizon3 – 4 Weeks
NotesBuy-On-Dip towards 1820 & 1780

From launching Kotak Mahindra Finance Ltd. in 1985 to becoming one of the country’s most trusted financial institutions today. Kotak Mahindra is one of India’s leading banking and financial services groups, offering a wide range of financial services that encompass every sphere of life.

Previous Close1826.9TTM EPS86.4
52 Week High2064.4TTM PE21.3
52 Week Low1643.5P/B3.8
Sector PE25.1Mkt Cap (Rs. Cr.)365,397

(Source: Moneycontrol, BSE, Fisdom Research)

Technical Outlook

(Source: Fisdom research)

  • Kotakbank has been underperforming in the segment in the last few months.
  • The counter witnessed a short-term consolidation break-out last week, indicating the downside is capped.
  • As per the price study, dips towards 1800/ 1760 can be looked at for fresh trading long bets with a stop below 1740 on a closing basis. On the higher end, the counter can attempt towards higher levels of 1905, followed by significant mid-term target cum resistance of 1995 levels in weeks to come. Once 1995 odd levels are taken off, then only a fresh major impulsive up-move is expected. A consolidation can continue before a fresh up-move..

Open Interest

ExpiryCPStrikeOpen Interest
28 Dec 2023CE18404327
28 Dec 2023CE19003702
28 Dec 2023CE18202491
28 Dec 2023PE18002069
28 Dec 2023CE18001994
28 Dec 2023PE17001730
28 Dec 2023CE18501585
28 Dec 2023CE17501283
28 Dec 2023CE18601191
  • Kotak Bank Dec Open Interest data has maximum CE build-up at 1840 & 1900 Strikes while top PE is witnessed at 1800 Strike Rate.
  • The OI data suggests that the upside is capped in the short term while support is around 1800. Indicates dips can be looked for fresh, long bets in days to come.

F&O Strategy

ScripKOTAKBANK LTP 1837.35
RiskModerate
Ratio1:1
BiasRange to pullback above 2540
Max Reward Expected₹ 15,520
Max Risk Expected₹ 8,480
ActionScripQTYEntry PriceLTP
BUYKOTAKBANK DEC 1840 CE4003737
SELLKOTAKBANK DEC 1900 CE40015.815.8
Invest Now

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